Fraser Minten vs Oliver Kapanen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.1%). Look for Minten on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Minten wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Kapanen 47.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 52.0%
Defensive zone
Minten 60.7%
Neutral zone
Minten 52.7%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Minten
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Minten
Kapanen
Last 7: Minten 5-2 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
2
Minten
Kapanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Kapanen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
3
0
Minten
Kapanen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
47.2% (559)
+1.6%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
51.0% (51)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
39.5% (38)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Kapanen has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Minten is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Minten shoots left. Kapanen is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Minten
Kapanen
Home
51.2% (449)
47.1% (340)
Away
44.4% (450)
47.1% (308)
By Period
Minten
Kapanen
P1
44.0%
42.7%
P2
46.4%
50.2%
P3
52.1%
48.2%
OT
83.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |