Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Minten wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 47.4% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 70.4%
Defensive zone
Minten 53.3%
Neutral zone
Minten 54.9%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Minten
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Minten
Kuraly
Last 5: Minten 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Minten
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (155)
55.3% (515)
-9.5%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.8% (58)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Minten is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Minten shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Minten
Kuraly
Home
49.5% (101)
57.3% (293)
Away
40.3% (67)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Minten
Kuraly
P1
37.3%
53.8%
P2
44.1%
51.5%
P3
55.2%
57.6%
Final 5 min
43.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
45.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |