Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 78.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 70.8%
Neutral zone
Minten 56.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Minten
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Minten
Kuraly
Last 5: Minten 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Minten
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (793)
51.5% (5,141)
-2.7%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
56.0% (100)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
34.0% (47)
44.2% (1,086)
-10.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Minten is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Minten shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Minten
Kuraly
Home
51.2% (449)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
44.4% (450)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Minten
Kuraly
P1
44.0%
51.1%
P2
46.4%
49.9%
P3
52.1%
50.0%
OT
83.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |