Dominic Toninato vs Frederick Gaudreau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toninato wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.9% vs Gaudreau 50.0% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 63.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 52.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 68.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Toninato
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Toninato
Gaudreau
Last 5: Toninato 3-2 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
1
0
Toninato
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
1
0
Toninato
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
2
Toninato
Gaudreau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (184)
49.1% (733)
-5.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
60.0% (80)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
48.6% (109)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Toninato is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Toninato shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Toninato
Gaudreau
Home
45.6% (114)
53.0% (483)
Away
38.5% (91)
46.7% (439)
By Period
Toninato
Gaudreau
P1
37.3%
53.5%
P2
41.7%
47.5%
P3
48.6%
49.5%
Final 5 min
41.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |