Frederick Gaudreau vs Jake Guentzel
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Guentzel 46.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 84.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 90.0%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 51.2%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Gaudreau
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Gaudreau
Guentzel
Last 7: Gaudreau 3-4 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Gaudreau
Guentzel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Guentzel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Gaudreau
Guentzel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
46.4% (715)
+2.2%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
46.6% (298)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
43.2% (44)
+3.5%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Guentzel is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Guentzel
Home
49.2% (2,437)
48.9% (583)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
43.2% (474)
By Period
Gaudreau
Guentzel
P1
49.7%
48.0%
P2
47.3%
45.5%
P3
49.1%
46.0%
OT
35.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |