Frederick Gaudreau vs Jeff Carter
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 50.0% vs Carter 56.4% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 81.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 92.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 83.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 86.8%
13.2%
86.8%
Gaudreau
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gaudreau
Carter
Last 7: Gaudreau 5-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (733)
57.9% (885)
-8.8%
Power Play
60.0% (80)
61.7% (133)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (109)
45.4% (119)
+3.2%
On even strength, Carter has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Gaudreau shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Carter
Home
53.0% (483)
58.2% (543)
Away
46.7% (439)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Gaudreau
Carter
P1
53.5%
57.5%
P2
47.5%
57.1%
P3
49.5%
55.8%
OT
37.5%
68.2%
Final 5 min
45.4%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | OT | 01:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |