Frederick Gaudreau vs Jeff Carter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Carter 53.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 53.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 71.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 62.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Gaudreau
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Gaudreau
Carter
Last 10: Gaudreau 1-9 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
2
Gaudreau
Carter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Gaudreau
Carter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
4
8
Gaudreau
Carter
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
53.3% (8,728)
-4.6%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
57.3% (1,554)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
46.3% (1,087)
+0.3%
On even strength, Carter has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,280).
Gaudreau shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Carter
Home
49.2% (2,437)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Gaudreau
Carter
P1
49.7%
53.6%
P2
47.3%
52.8%
P3
49.1%
53.1%
OT
36.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 31, 2022 | OT | 01:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |