Frederick Gaudreau vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 83.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 82.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 53.4%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
47.3% (207)
-2.3%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
100.0% (3)
-68.2%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
33.3% (3)
+4.3%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +68.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
Home
42.6% (277)
46.5% (129)
Away
42.9% (259)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
P1
43.8%
51.3%
P2
44.8%
46.1%
P3
39.2%
45.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%