Frederick Gaudreau vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.2%). Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 72.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 77.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 51.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Gaudreau 4-6 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
3
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
3
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
49.0% (3,852)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
51.3% (351)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
45.7% (35)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
Home
49.2% (2,437)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Gaudreau
Kotkaniemi
P1
49.7%
49.9%
P2
47.3%
50.4%
P3
49.1%
47.2%
OT
36.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:16 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:30 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |