Frederick Gaudreau vs Joe Pavelski
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 50.0% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 52.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 72.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 59.4%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Last 6: Gaudreau 2-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Gaudreau
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Gaudreau
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (733)
52.5% (570)
-3.4%
Power Play
60.0% (80)
54.5% (145)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (109)
44.4% (36)
+4.2%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Gaudreau shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Home
53.0% (483)
55.0% (391)
Away
46.7% (439)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Gaudreau
Pavelski
P1
53.5%
50.8%
P2
47.5%
55.0%
P3
49.5%
52.0%
OT
37.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |