Frederick Gaudreau vs Joe Pavelski
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs Pavelski 50.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 70.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 69.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Gaudreau
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
51.5% (594)
-2.5%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
51.7% (87)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
28.6% (14)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Gaudreau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Gaudreau shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Pavelski
Home
50.8% (319)
53.1% (339)
Away
48.7% (228)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Gaudreau
Pavelski
P1
53.4%
53.8%
P2
47.4%
47.8%
P3
50.0%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |