Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 49.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.7% vs Eller 49.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 64.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 70.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Gaudreau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Gaudreau
Eller
Last 8: Gaudreau 4-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Gaudreau
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Gaudreau
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (320)
49.9% (821)
-1.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
52.7% (74)
-19.4%
On power play, Eller has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Gaudreau shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Eller
Home
46.4% (151)
49.4% (559)
Away
50.0% (172)
48.5% (550)
By Period
Gaudreau
Eller
P1
45.6%
50.1%
P2
48.0%
46.7%
P3
52.3%
49.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |