Frederick Gaudreau vs Lars Eller
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Eller 50.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 17-13 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 61.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 62.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 59.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Gaudreau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
17
(30 meetings)
13
17
Gaudreau
Eller
Last 10: Gaudreau 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
7
Gaudreau
Eller
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
8
Gaudreau
Eller
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
51.1% (10,296)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
52.8% (621)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
46.7% (1,751)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Eller
Home
49.2% (2,437)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Gaudreau
Eller
P1
49.7%
51.2%
P2
47.3%
50.1%
P3
49.1%
50.2%
OT
36.7%
56.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Lars Eller |