Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Eller 55.7% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 72.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 65.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Gaudreau
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Gaudreau
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Gaudreau
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
56.5% (434)
-11.5%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
77.8% (9)
-46.0%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
56.5% (46)
-18.9%
On power play, Eller has a +46.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Eller
Home
42.6% (277)
53.1% (211)
Away
42.9% (259)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Gaudreau
Eller
P1
43.8%
55.4%
P2
44.8%
58.1%
P3
39.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |