Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs Kunin 46.4% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 53.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 71.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 58.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Gaudreau
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Gaudreau
Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Kunin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
1
Gaudreau
Kunin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Kunin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
48.9% (366)
+0.1%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
34.6% (26)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
35.2% (88)
+13.9%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Gaudreau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Gaudreau shoots right. Kunin is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Kunin
Home
50.8% (319)
45.7% (245)
Away
48.7% (228)
45.5% (235)
By Period
Gaudreau
Kunin
P1
53.4%
46.5%
P2
47.4%
45.0%
P3
50.0%
44.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |