Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Kunin 47.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 51.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 53.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 50.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Gaudreau
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gaudreau
Kunin
Last 5: Gaudreau 4-1 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Kunin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Kunin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Kunin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
46.4% (276)
+2.8%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
50.0% (30)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
47.8% (92)
-1.8%
On power play, Kunin has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Gaudreau is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Gaudreau shoots right. Kunin is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Kunin
Home
47.1% (546)
45.9% (194)
Away
49.4% (551)
48.0% (204)
By Period
Gaudreau
Kunin
P1
46.8%
43.2%
P2
46.8%
46.3%
P3
51.1%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |