Frederick Gaudreau vs Matt Duchene
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs Duchene 55.6% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 54.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 83.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 61.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Gaudreau
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaudreau
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Gaudreau
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Gaudreau
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
56.5% (566)
-7.5%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
61.3% (62)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
22.2% (9)
+26.9%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Gaudreau shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Duchene
Home
50.8% (319)
56.6% (318)
Away
48.7% (228)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Gaudreau
Duchene
P1
53.4%
57.2%
P2
47.4%
55.1%
P3
50.0%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
81.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |