Frederick Gaudreau vs Pavel Zacha
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Zacha 52.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 61.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 88.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 71.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Gaudreau
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Gaudreau
Zacha
Last 10: Gaudreau 2-8 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
6
Gaudreau
Zacha
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Gaudreau
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
54.1% (534)
-4.9%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
56.0% (109)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
44.8% (96)
+1.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Zacha
Home
47.1% (546)
53.4% (406)
Away
49.4% (551)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Gaudreau
Zacha
P1
46.8%
56.8%
P2
46.8%
53.6%
P3
51.1%
49.2%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |