Frederick Gaudreau vs Pavel Zacha
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Zacha 51.7% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 89.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 52.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 77.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Gaudreau
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Gaudreau
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Gaudreau
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
53.3% (646)
-8.3%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
53.0% (100)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
38.9% (72)
-1.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Zacha
Home
42.6% (277)
51.7% (410)
Away
42.9% (259)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Gaudreau
Zacha
P1
43.8%
57.7%
P2
44.8%
48.9%
P3
39.2%
50.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |