Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Donato
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Donato 48.1% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 55.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 88.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 67.2%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Gaudreau
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gaudreau
Donato
Last 5: Gaudreau 1-4 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
3
Gaudreau
Donato
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
48.1% (258)
-3.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
43.2% (37)
-11.4%
On power play, Donato has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Donato is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Donato
Home
42.6% (277)
45.8% (142)
Away
42.9% (259)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Gaudreau
Donato
P1
43.8%
48.1%
P2
44.8%
46.6%
P3
39.2%
46.8%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |