Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Donato
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Donato 44.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Donato leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 82.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 72.1%
Neutral zone
Donato 52.9%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Gaudreau
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Gaudreau
Donato
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
6
Gaudreau
Donato
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
6
2
Gaudreau
Donato
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
2
3
Gaudreau
Donato
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
44.2% (1,179)
+4.5%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
46.3% (246)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
36.4% (11)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Donato
Home
49.2% (2,437)
47.2% (743)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Gaudreau
Donato
P1
49.7%
43.4%
P2
47.3%
45.1%
P3
49.1%
44.4%
OT
36.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |