Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Donato
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Donato 45.4% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Donato leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 74.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 72.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 51.4%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Gaudreau
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Gaudreau
Donato
Last 10: Gaudreau 4-6 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
1
3
Gaudreau
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
0
Gaudreau
Donato
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
3
Gaudreau
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
43.5% (400)
+5.7%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
48.7% (119)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
33.3% (6)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Donato
Home
47.1% (546)
50.2% (279)
Away
49.4% (551)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Gaudreau
Donato
P1
46.8%
44.6%
P2
46.8%
46.6%
P3
51.1%
42.0%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |