Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan McLeod
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs McLeod 52.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 72.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 68.9%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 74.2%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Gaudreau
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Gaudreau
McLeod
Last 7: Gaudreau 0-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Gaudreau
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Gaudreau
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
52.9% (904)
-3.7%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
57.6% (59)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
49.0% (241)
-3.0%
On power play, McLeod has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McLeod
Home
47.1% (546)
51.8% (612)
Away
49.4% (551)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Gaudreau
McLeod
P1
46.8%
55.4%
P2
46.8%
50.8%
P3
51.1%
51.6%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |