Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan McLeod
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs McLeod 47.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 84.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 52.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 75.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 84.7%
15.3%
84.7%
Gaudreau
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Gaudreau
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
49.2% (796)
-4.2%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
44.8% (87)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
43.3% (263)
-5.7%
On power play, McLeod has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McLeod
Home
42.6% (277)
49.2% (575)
Away
42.9% (259)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Gaudreau
McLeod
P1
43.8%
52.8%
P2
44.8%
45.1%
P3
39.2%
45.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |