Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 50.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 51.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Gaudreau 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (733)
43.0% (349)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (109)
31.8% (88)
+16.8%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Gaudreau shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.0% (483)
38.5% (231)
Away
46.7% (439)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Gaudreau
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.5%
40.2%
P2
47.5%
36.0%
P3
49.5%
45.1%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |