Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Poehling
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Poehling 50.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 52.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 66.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 57.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Gaudreau
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gaudreau
Poehling
Last 5: Gaudreau 3-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
52.6% (622)
-3.4%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
58.3% (12)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
39.8% (103)
+6.2%
On power play, Poehling has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Poehling is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Poehling
Home
47.1% (546)
53.2% (393)
Away
49.4% (551)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Gaudreau
Poehling
P1
46.8%
50.9%
P2
46.8%
56.2%
P3
51.1%
46.1%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:58 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |