Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan Poehling
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Poehling 47.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 71.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 76.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 69.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Gaudreau
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Gaudreau
Poehling
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
5
Gaudreau
Poehling
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
49.8% (626)
-4.8%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
58.3% (12)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
38.2% (207)
-0.6%
On power play, Poehling has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Poehling is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Poehling
Home
42.6% (277)
47.3% (404)
Away
42.9% (259)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Gaudreau
Poehling
P1
43.8%
53.5%
P2
44.8%
39.4%
P3
39.2%
49.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |