Frederick Gaudreau vs Sam Steel
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Steel 50.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 54.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 78.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 55.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Gaudreau
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Gaudreau
Steel
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
5
Gaudreau
Steel
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
50.6% (2,876)
-1.9%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
62.6% (179)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
37.4% (254)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Steel
Home
49.2% (2,437)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Gaudreau
Steel
P1
49.7%
51.9%
P2
47.3%
49.5%
P3
49.1%
49.6%
OT
36.7%
41.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |