Frederick Gaudreau vs Sean Monahan
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Monahan 52.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 58.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 79.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 62.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Gaudreau
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Gaudreau
Monahan
Last 8: Gaudreau 3-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Gaudreau
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Gaudreau
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
52.4% (853)
-3.2%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
58.6% (174)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
46.5% (144)
-0.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Monahan
Home
47.1% (546)
53.4% (624)
Away
49.4% (551)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Gaudreau
Monahan
P1
46.8%
53.7%
P2
46.8%
52.4%
P3
51.1%
51.6%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |