Frederick Gaudreau vs Sean Monahan
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Monahan 52.8% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 70.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 84.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 57.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Gaudreau
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Gaudreau
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Gaudreau
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
53.2% (823)
-8.2%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
55.3% (159)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
48.4% (95)
-10.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Monahan
Home
42.6% (277)
54.6% (529)
Away
42.9% (259)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Gaudreau
Monahan
P1
43.8%
49.0%
P2
44.8%
55.4%
P3
39.2%
53.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |