Frederick Gaudreau vs Zack Ostapchuk
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Ostapchuk 50.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 51.4%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 77.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 54.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Last 5: Gaudreau 2-3 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
51.7% (300)
-6.7%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
33.3% (3)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
43.6% (55)
-6.0%
On even strength, Ostapchuk has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Ostapchuk is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Home
42.6% (277)
49.1% (161)
Away
42.9% (259)
51.3% (197)
By Period
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
P1
43.8%
50.0%
P2
44.8%
45.7%
P3
39.2%
55.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |