Frederick Gaudreau vs Zack Ostapchuk
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 66.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 54.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 51.4%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
48.3% (271)
+0.9%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
25.0% (4)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
71.4% (7)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Ostapchuk has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Ostapchuk is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Home
47.1% (546)
49.3% (140)
Away
49.4% (551)
47.9% (142)
By Period
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
P1
46.8%
49.1%
P2
46.8%
48.9%
P3
51.1%
47.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |