Who wins more faceoffs, Frederick Gaudreau or Zack Ostapchuk?

Frederick Gaudreau leads the head-to-head 5-4 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Frederick Gaudreau's faceoff record against Zack Ostapchuk?

Frederick Gaudreau is 5-4 against Zack Ostapchuk in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-2, Defensive 2-1, Neutral 2-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Frederick Gaudreau or Zack Ostapchuk?

Frederick Gaudreau is the predicted winner with a 52.7% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Frederick Gaudreau vs Zack Ostapchuk

Frederick GaudreauR vs Zack OstapchukL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.2%). Look for Ostapchuk on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Gaudreau 48.6% vs Ostapchuk 48.4% (+0.4%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Ostapchuk 53.2%

Defensive zone Gaudreau 58.8%

Neutral zone Gaudreau 52.4%

Result Frederick Gaudreau favored at 52.7%

52.7%

47.3%

Gaudreau Ostapchuk

Head-to-Head Record

5 - 4 (9 meetings)

Gaudreau Ostapchuk

Last 8: Gaudreau 4-4 Ostapchuk

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Ostapchuk

Gaudreau Ostapchuk

3 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Gaudreau

Gaudreau Ostapchuk

3 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Gaudreau

Gaudreau Ostapchuk

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Gaudreau

Ostapchuk

Edge

Even Strength

48.7% (3,745)

48.5% (612)

+0.2%

Power Play

53.9% (219)

28.6% (7)

+25.3%

Penalty Kill

46.6% (789)

46.8% (62)

-0.2%

On power play, Gaudreau has a +25.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Ostapchuk shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).

Gaudreau shoots right. Ostapchuk is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (208).

Home / Away

Gaudreau

Ostapchuk

Home

49.2% (2,437)

48.6% (319)

Away

47.8% (2,316)

47.8% (362)

By Period

Gaudreau

Ostapchuk

49.7%

48.2%

47.3%

45.8%

49.1%

50.5%

Final 5 min

47.5%

49.4%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Gaudreau

34.0%▼

44.5%

48.6%

Ostapchuk

44.0%▼

48.5%

48.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Nov 15, 2025	3	17:32	Defensive	Zack Ostapchuk
Nov 15, 2025	2	16:43	Neutral	Frederick Gaudreau
Nov 15, 2025	1	19:53	Offensive	Zack Ostapchuk
Nov 15, 2025	1	15:59	Offensive	Zack Ostapchuk
Nov 15, 2025	1	05:22	Defensive	Frederick Gaudreau
Feb 1, 2025	1	13:42	Neutral	Zack Ostapchuk
Feb 1, 2025	1	02:08	Offensive	Frederick Gaudreau
Dec 29, 2024	1	09:36	Defensive	Frederick Gaudreau

Gaudreau's Profile | Ostapchuk's Profile