Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.6% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-9.5%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 71.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 65.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.6%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Vilardi
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
55.9% (245)
-9.4%
Power Play
43.3% (30)
0.0% (3)
+43.3%
On power play, Vilardi has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Vilardi is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Vilardi shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Bjugstad
Home
51.6% (64)
53.2% (111)
Away
40.3% (67)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Vilardi
Bjugstad
P1
48.9%
44.6%
P2
42.9%
61.4%
P3
45.2%
61.3%
Final 5 min
41.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%