Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 48.4% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 67.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 82.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.9%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Vilardi
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Vilardi
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
1
0
Vilardi
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (41)
50.7% (906)
+5.4%
Power Play
22.2% (18)
48.1% (108)
-25.9%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Vilardi is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Vilardi shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Bjugstad
Home
46.9% (32)
49.8% (643)
Away
44.4% (27)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Vilardi
Bjugstad
P1
57.1%
49.4%
P2
40.0%
50.5%
P3
38.5%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |