Scouting Report
Gabriel Vilardi holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Vilardi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Vilardi wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.5% vs Donato 47.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 68.1%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 69.0%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 56.4%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Vilardi
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Vilardi
Donato
Last 5: Vilardi 3-2 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Vilardi
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
1
0
Vilardi
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vilardi
2
1
Vilardi
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (564)
38.6% (44)
+6.6%
Power Play
53.3% (45)
52.6% (19)
+0.7%
On even strength, Vilardi has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Vilardi is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Vilardi shoots right. Donato is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Donato
Home
47.3% (330)
38.7% (31)
Away
44.4% (304)
46.9% (32)
By Period
Vilardi
Donato
P1
49.0%
41.2%
P2
43.2%
44.4%
P3
45.7%
40.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.9%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |