Scouting Report
Gabriel Vilardi holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 48.4% vs Donato 46.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 51.2%
Defensive zone
Donato 62.7%
Neutral zone
Donato 58.0%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Vilardi
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Vilardi
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
2
Vilardi
Donato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vilardi
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (41)
44.4% (180)
+11.7%
Power Play
22.2% (18)
43.2% (37)
-21.0%
On power play, Donato has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Vilardi is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Vilardi shoots right. Donato is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Donato
Home
46.9% (32)
45.4% (97)
Away
44.4% (27)
43.2% (125)
By Period
Vilardi
Donato
P1
57.1%
36.2%
P2
40.0%
48.6%
P3
38.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |