Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 48.6% vs Donato 50.0% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 61.8%
Defensive zone
Donato 60.4%
Neutral zone
Donato 51.4%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Vilardi
Donato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (53)
51.4% (175)
-4.2%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
41.9% (31)
+5.5%
On power play, Vilardi has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Vilardi is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Vilardi shoots right. Donato is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Donato
Home
43.2% (37)
48.6% (107)
Away
50.0% (36)
51.5% (99)
By Period
Vilardi
Donato
P1
55.2%
52.0%
P2
39.3%
48.8%
P3
43.8%
47.8%
Final 5 min
60.0%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
46.0%▬
46.0%
46.6%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%