Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.9% vs Donato 48.1% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 65.4%
Defensive zone
Donato 70.1%
Neutral zone
Donato 52.9%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Vilardi
Donato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (69)
48.1% (258)
-6.1%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
43.2% (37)
+6.8%
On power play, Vilardi has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Vilardi is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Vilardi shoots right. Donato is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Donato
Home
40.8% (49)
45.8% (142)
Away
46.7% (45)
49.0% (153)
By Period
Vilardi
Donato
P1
50.0%
48.1%
P2
37.1%
46.6%
P3
43.5%
46.8%
Final 5 min
54.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
43.6%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
47.5%