Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.6% vs Steel 49.4% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 57.4%
Defensive zone
Steel 56.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 57.8%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Vilardi
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
49.3% (383)
-2.8%
Power Play
43.3% (30)
59.1% (22)
-15.8%
On power play, Steel has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Vilardi is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Vilardi shoots right. Steel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Steel
Home
51.6% (64)
49.4% (180)
Away
40.3% (67)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Vilardi
Steel
P1
48.9%
51.9%
P2
42.9%
43.8%
P3
45.2%
52.6%
Final 5 min
41.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.8%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.3%