Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.0%). Vilardi wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 48.4% vs Steel 46.6% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 68.7%
Defensive zone
Steel 74.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 55.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Vilardi
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (41)
44.6% (177)
+11.5%
Power Play
22.2% (18)
66.7% (3)
-44.5%
On power play, Steel has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Vilardi is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Vilardi shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Steel
Home
46.9% (32)
46.7% (90)
Away
44.4% (27)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Vilardi
Steel
P1
57.1%
47.8%
P2
40.0%
47.0%
P3
38.5%
41.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.8%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.0%