Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.9% vs Nosek 58.0% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 80.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 93.8%
Neutral zone
Nosek 79.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 79.9%
20.1%
79.9%
Vilardi
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Vilardi
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vilardi
1
0
Vilardi
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (81)
59.7% (469)
-15.3%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
100.0% (4)
-50.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Vilardi is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Vilardi shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Nosek
Home
44.8% (58)
59.0% (295)
Away
47.3% (55)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Vilardi
Nosek
P1
41.7%
56.3%
P2
55.6%
61.9%
P3
42.9%
59.2%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |