Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 48.4% vs Nosek 51.4% (-6.1%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 71.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 65.2%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.4%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Vilardi
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (41)
54.4% (215)
+1.7%
Power Play
22.2% (18)
0.0% (1)
+22.2%
On power play, Vilardi has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Vilardi is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Vilardi shoots right. Nosek is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Nosek
Home
46.9% (32)
50.4% (127)
Away
44.4% (27)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Vilardi
Nosek
P1
57.1%
51.4%
P2
40.0%
51.3%
P3
38.5%
53.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%