Scouting Report
Gabriel Vilardi holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vilardi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vilardi wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.5% vs Zegras 46.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Vilardi leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 61.5%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 65.5%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 51.6%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Vilardi
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Vilardi
Zegras
Last 10: Vilardi 5-5 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Vilardi
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
3
0
Vilardi
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Vilardi
Zegras
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (564)
44.2% (86)
+1.0%
Power Play
53.3% (45)
40.0% (10)
+13.3%
On power play, Vilardi has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Vilardi is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Vilardi shoots right. Zegras is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Zegras
Home
47.3% (330)
44.8% (29)
Away
44.4% (304)
43.3% (67)
By Period
Vilardi
Zegras
P1
49.0%
41.4%
P2
43.2%
47.1%
P3
45.7%
42.4%
Final 5 min
48.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:58 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |