Scouting Report
Gabriel Vilardi holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 49.6% vs Zegras 41.3% (+12.7%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 61.0%
Defensive zone
Zegras 58.1%
Neutral zone
Zegras 54.9%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Vilardi
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (113)
36.5% (156)
+7.7%
Power Play
64.1% (39)
40.7% (27)
+23.4%
On power play, Vilardi has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Vilardi is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Vilardi shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Zegras
Home
38.5% (39)
38.9% (113)
Away
53.1% (113)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Vilardi
Zegras
P1
52.6%
40.0%
P2
35.3%
38.1%
P3
61.4%
31.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
49.3%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%