Scouting Report
Gabriel Vilardi holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 48.4% vs Zegras 43.3% (+7.4%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 55.5%
Defensive zone
Zegras 54.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 54.4%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Vilardi
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (41)
39.8% (128)
+16.3%
Power Play
22.2% (18)
22.2% (9)
+0.0%
On even strength, Vilardi has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Vilardi is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Vilardi shoots right. Zegras is 30.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Zegras
Home
46.9% (32)
29.7% (74)
Away
44.4% (27)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Vilardi
Zegras
P1
57.1%
40.7%
P2
40.0%
35.1%
P3
38.5%
41.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%