Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.5% vs Bozak 55.4% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Vilardi 57.2%
Defensive zone
Bozak 55.4%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 55.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Vilardi
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Vilardi
Bozak
Last 10: Vilardi 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
Vilardi
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Vilardi
Bozak
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (564)
58.3% (271)
-13.1%
Power Play
53.3% (45)
60.6% (33)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
50.0% (78)
-2.0%
On even strength, Bozak has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Vilardi is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Vilardi shoots right. Bozak is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Bozak
Home
47.3% (330)
60.7% (206)
Away
44.4% (304)
52.3% (176)
By Period
Vilardi
Bozak
P1
49.0%
57.3%
P2
43.2%
57.8%
P3
45.7%
56.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |