Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.2%). Vilardi wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.6% vs Bozak 46.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 54.1%
Defensive zone
Bozak 64.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 58.9%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Vilardi
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Vilardi
Bozak
Last 6: Vilardi 1-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vilardi
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Vilardi
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Vilardi
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
46.7% (338)
-0.2%
Power Play
43.3% (30)
50.0% (6)
-6.7%
On power play, Bozak has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Vilardi is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Vilardi shoots right. Bozak is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Bozak
Home
51.6% (64)
47.9% (194)
Away
40.3% (67)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Vilardi
Bozak
P1
48.9%
40.2%
P2
42.9%
51.4%
P3
45.2%
43.1%
Final 5 min
41.2%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |