Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.9% vs Bozak 53.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Vilardi 73.2%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 77.2%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 68.8%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Vilardi
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Vilardi
Bozak
Last 10: Vilardi 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
4
Vilardi
Bozak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
6
Vilardi
Bozak
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Vilardi
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,053)
53.7% (9,596)
-7.9%
Power Play
51.3% (195)
55.2% (1,990)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
48.0% (1,094)
+0.1%
On even strength, Bozak has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Vilardi is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Vilardi shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Bozak
Home
47.2% (659)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
46.1% (616)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Vilardi
Bozak
P1
49.6%
53.2%
P2
43.7%
52.8%
P3
46.8%
54.5%
OT
33.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |