Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.3%). Look for McKegg on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 49.5% vs Eller 49.3% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 53.5%
Defensive zone
McKegg 57.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
McKegg
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McKegg
Eller
Last 6: McKegg 3-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
2
1
McKegg
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
0
McKegg
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
McKegg
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (189)
50.1% (749)
-2.0%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
46.1% (76)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
46.6% (131)
+10.9%
On power play, Eller has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. McKegg is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
McKegg shoots left. Eller is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
McKegg
Eller
Home
52.9% (102)
51.4% (465)
Away
46.6% (131)
47.3% (491)
By Period
McKegg
Eller
P1
48.5%
47.9%
P2
49.4%
51.6%
P3
50.9%
47.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |