Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. McKegg wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McKegg 46.9% vs Eller 49.5% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 56.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 56.3%
Neutral zone
McKegg 50.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
McKegg
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McKegg
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
McKegg
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McKegg
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (146)
51.1% (786)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
43.6% (165)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. McKegg is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (103).
McKegg shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
McKegg
Eller
Home
45.3% (64)
51.2% (510)
Away
44.8% (96)
47.8% (521)
By Period
McKegg
Eller
P1
48.1%
50.7%
P2
50.0%
49.0%
P3
37.9%
48.3%
Final 5 min
40.5%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |